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ANALYSIS

October 30- November 05, 2004

   
USA: Bush 2 …
George W Bush will interpret his election victory as a strong vote of confidence, if not a mandate. Any suggestion that Mr Bush will tack to the centre, or otherwise trim his sails, is mistaken.
   
Uruguay: Historic win
Leftist Tabare Vazquez has made history by winning the presidency in the first round, securing a firm mandate and halting the 170-year rule of Uruguay’s two traditional parties.
   
Venezuela: A stronger Chavez
Supporters of Hugo Chavez swept to victory in most of the state and local elections of October 31st. This further consolidates his power after the failure of the August recall referendum.
   
Chile: 2005 preview
The results of the recent municipal elections herald a tight race for the presidency in 2005, and bolster the position of the opposition candidate, Joaquin Lavin.
   
World: Bush, tariffs and trade
For many US trading partners, George Bush's victory seems most unwelcome. During his first term, Mr Bush slapped trade restrictions on many products, as IndustryWire explains. But he may be preferable to John Kerry.
   
Middle East: Devil they know
Political leaders in most Middle Eastern states will broadly welcome the prospect of a second term for George Bush because of their preference for continuity over change. The main exceptions? Iran, Syria and Sudan.
   
Asia: China, North Korea beckon
George Bush’s triumph in the US presidential election will have implications for most of Asia. But its impact on China and North Korea will be particularly closely watched.
   
EU: Yes, he won
It is fair to say that Europe's citizens, on the whole, are not enamoured with George Bush. Their governments mostly share that view. But does his re-election really matter to transatlantic relations?

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